Criciúma vs Novorizontino AI 3D Score Simulation & Exact Score Matrix

This 3D match engine runs 10,000 full game tests for Criciúma vs Novorizontino in the Brasileirão Série B. Each test tracks every shot, pass, and goal chance over 90 minutes of play. Criciúma enters this match with an expected goal score of 1.19 xG at home. Novorizontino holds an away goal rate of 1.13 xG. Our math model pairs these two goal rates to find the most likely final score.

Across our 10,000 game runs, the top exact score is "1-1" with a 18.7% share. The second most common score is "1-0" at 11.7%, and the third is "0-1" at 11.1%. A fourth score option, "0-0", appears in 9.8% of our match runs. Picking a main score and a backup score helps cover late goals in tight games.

Ball control and pass rates show how the game will flow on the pitch. Criciúma holds a ClubElo power rating of 1660 and keeps the ball for 49% of the match. They also complete 81% of their passes and earn 5.9 corners per game. Novorizontino carries a ClubElo rating of 1716 with 51% ball control, an 81% pass rate, and 5 corners per match.

Both teams combine for an expected goal total of 2.32 xG over 90 minutes. Based on this goal pace, the chance of seeing at least two goals (Over 1.5 Goals) is 79%. The chance of three or more total goals (Over 2.5 Goals) sits at 44%, while Over 3.5 Goals is at 24%. Both Teams To Score (BTTS Yes) lands in 63% of our match tests.

In past head-to-head games, these two clubs have met 10 times. Criciúma won 4 of those games, Novorizontino won 3, and 3 ended in a draw. You can press Start on the 3D pitch above to watch the live match engine test shot zones, fast breaks, and goal timing in real time.