Bulgaria vs Iceland AI 3D Score Simulation & Exact Score Matrix

This 3D match engine runs 10,000 full game tests for Bulgaria vs Iceland in the UEFA Nations League. Each test tracks every shot, pass, and goal chance over 90 minutes of play. Bulgaria enters this match with an expected goal score of 1.57 xG at home. Iceland holds an away goal rate of 1.06 xG. Our math model pairs these two goal rates to find the most likely final score.

Across our 10,000 game runs, the top exact score is "2-1" with a 16.0% share. The second most common score is "1-1" at 12.0%, and the third is "1-0" at 11.3%. A fourth score option, "2-0", appears in 8.9% of our match runs. Picking a main score and a backup score helps cover late goals in tight games.

Ball control and pass rates show how the game will flow on the pitch. Bulgaria holds a ClubElo power rating of 1640 and keeps the ball for 47% of the match. They also complete 79% of their passes and earn 6.6 corners per game. Iceland carries a ClubElo rating of 1595 with 53% ball control, an 81% pass rate, and 4.6 corners per match.

Both teams combine for an expected goal total of 2.63 xG over 90 minutes. Based on this goal pace, the chance of seeing at least two goals (Over 1.5 Goals) is 82%. The chance of three or more total goals (Over 2.5 Goals) sits at 68%, while Over 3.5 Goals is at 37%. Both Teams To Score (BTTS Yes) lands in 61% of our match tests.

In past head-to-head games, these two clubs have met 14 times. Bulgaria won 4 of those games, Iceland won 7, and 3 ended in a draw. You can press Start on the 3D pitch above to watch the live match engine test shot zones, fast breaks, and goal timing in real time.