Explore quantitative 1X2 win probabilities for UEFA Nations League. Our AI evaluates live league standings, home advantage, head-to-head records, and Poisson win distributions.
Validated across 2,350 fixtures
Avg 2.9 goals per match
Home Win 42% • Draw 27% • Away 31%
Home vs Away xG: 1.6 - 1.2
Showing algorithmically evaluated matches for the UEFA Nations League with focus on 1X2 Match Winner & Win-Draw-Win Predictions.
Belarus's superior calibrated xG (1.47 vs 0.98) and three wins in their last five point to a narrow home victory, with Albania's counter-att...
Belgium's superior home xG (1.47 vs 0.98) and a 44% Elo-derived win probability edge point to a narrow home victory, with both sides expecte...
Croatia's superior individual quality and home advantage in Osijek should edge a tight contest, but Czechia's counter-attacking threat makes...
Cyprus's superior home xG (1.47 vs 0.98) and a 44% Elo-derived win probability edge out a Montenegro side in stronger form, with the Golo mo...
Spain's superior possession structure and a calibrated xG edge of 1.47 vs 0.98 point to a narrow home victory, though England's counter-atta...
Finland's overwhelming quality gap and San Marino's five straight defeats point to a controlled home victory, with the Finns expected to bre...
France's superior squad depth and home advantage in Bordeaux should grind down a Türkiye side in poor form, with the Golo model projecting a...
Latvia's superior home xG (1.47) against an Armenia side conceding regularly points to a narrow home win, with both teams likely to score in...
Estonia's superior Elo-derived win probability (44%) and higher calibrated xG (1.47 vs 0.98) point to a narrow home victory, while Bulgaria'...
Faroe Islands' compact Tórsvollur home setup and superior calibrated xG (1.47 vs 0.98) edge a tight contest, with Moldova's leaky away struc...
Germany's superior home xG (1.47 vs 0.98) and the Elo-derived 44% home win probability tilt a tight, high-quality Nations League clash towar...
Gibraltar's superior calibrated xG (1.47 vs 0.98) and home advantage at the compact Europa Point Stadium edge a tight, goal-laden contest, w...
Greece's superior Elo-derived win probability (44%) and higher calibrated xG (1.47 vs 0.98) point to a narrow home victory, with Serbia's fi...
Iceland's superior home record at Laugardalsvöllur and Luxembourg's four-game losing streak point to a controlled home victory, with the Gol...
Kazakhstan's Elo-derived win probability (44%) and Golo-calibrated xG edge (1.47 vs 0.98) point to a narrow home victory, with Slovakia's im...
Lithuania's superior squad depth and home advantage in Kaunas should overwhelm a Liechtenstein side that has conceded freely in recent quali...
North Macedonia's superior calibrated xG (1.47 vs 0.98) and home advantage in Skopje edge a tight contest, though Slovenia's counter-attacki...
Switzerland's superior squad depth and four wins in five give them the edge at Kybunpark, but Scotland's counter-attacking threat should pro...
Focado nos resultados finais de 90 minutos (Casa, Empate, Fora) considerando a tabela ao vivo e a vantagem de jogar em casa.
Across 2350 official matches in UEFA Nations League, fixtures average 2.9 total goals per 90 minutes (6815 goals scored). Home clubs win 42% of encounters, draws finish at 27%, and away wins occur in 31%. Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of fixtures, while BTTS hits in 62%.
Our algorithm simulates 10,000 match scenarios using Monte Carlo simulations and historical UEFA Nations League metrics, accounting for 42% historic home win frequency.
In UEFA Nations League, draws occur in approximately 27% of fixtures, which our model calculates through goal-distribution models.
Our live standings table tracks top-performing clubs in UEFA Nations League by points, goal differential, and expected goals.